Tuesday, November 30, 2010

S&P / Case Shiller Confirms The Obvious

“Another weak report; weaker than last month. The national index is down 1.5% from the third quarter of last year and 15 of 20 cities are down over the last 12 months. Other than Tampa, FL, there are no new lows this month but many analysts will argue that a double dip will be confirmed before Spring.

While some of the bad numbers may reflect the end of the government’s tax incentive for first time homebuyers, there are other problems weighing on the housing market.” says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor's.
“The national economy is certainly the number one issue for housing.

Additionally, there is a large supply of houses on the market and further, hidden, supply due to delinquent mortgages, pending foreclosures or vacant homes. New construction is running at less than half the pace needed to meet normal demand, so a sustained recovery could be a ways off.”
“Looking deeper into the data, in the monthly indices, 18 MSAs and both Composites were down in September over August.

This is worse than August when 15 were down month-to-month. The only two which weren’t down in September were Las Vegas, which managed to stay a touch above the low set in July, and Washington DC. Overall, there are few, if any, good numbers in this month’s data.”


The Short Term View:


The Longer Term View:





Top 20 City by City View:


Sources and Further Reading:

S&P / Case Shiller

Financial Sense


Calculated Risk

ZeroHedge


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